I have not seen anything yet on pct of people dying from 2019-nCoV, and I read as much as I can every day.emanuel wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 2:44 pmAny official numbers on the mortality rate? Is it again one of those strains that only kill immunocompromised people, children and old folks? Couldn't find anything online, but given that SARS had it at round 7% and how similar they are, they couldn't be close, probably a bit higher. It would be pretty bad but not even close to what all the media makes it out to be. The only issue is the incompetence of the Chinese state being more concerned about their image than keeping this under control. Sigh, what more can be expected from communists..?
http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspect ... ing-probed
CDC: 110 suspected nCoV cases in 26 (USA) states being probed
73 cases pending
As of today, lab tests have confirmed 5 US infections, and 32 cases have been ruled negative, with 73 cases pending.
"The 110 PUI number is cumulative, and it will only increase," said Nancy Messonnier, MD, director of CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Disease. "We know that risk depends on exposure," she said.
"We have a handful of patients, but at this time the virus is not spreading in the community. The immediate health risk to the general public in the US is low at this time."
The CDC also announced it will update case counts on its 2019-nCoV website on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, beginning today.
http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspect ... l-epidemic
Experts: nCoV spread in China's cities could trigger global epidemic
Projection of 44,000 Wuhan cases
At a media briefing in Hong Kong today, experts from the University of Hong Kong (HKU) estimated that the number of cases in Wuhan as of Jan 25 was dramatically higher than the country's official totals and may be as high as 44,000. They also estimated that the city's cases will double over the next 6 days.
Media reports detailed the estimates from Gabriel Leung, MD, MPH, and Joseph Wu, PhD, both with the HKU medical school. The scientists also posted their slide presentation on HKU's website.
They said that about 25,000 people in Wuhan are likely symptomatic and the others are still in the incubation period.
They warned 2019-nCoV may be about to become a global epidemic and that sustained human-to-human spread is already occurring in major Chinese cities. They said Chinese cities should take "substantial, draconian" measures to limit population mobility, such as cancelling mass gatherings, schools closures, and implementing work-from-home arrangements.
The experts added, however, that quarantines would have limited impact. Leung and Wu urged areas with the closest travel links to China to be ready to deploy their preparedness plans on short notice.
Based on outbreak data and train, air, and road travel from Wuhan—which is central China's transportation hub—they said Chongqing could be the next most affected city, becaue of its strong transport ties to Wuhan. They said outbreaks in Chongqing, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen could peak in April or May and gradually slow in June and July.
China's nCoV cases pass MERS total
In its latest update, the China Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) reported 769 new cases in 30 of the country's 33 provinces and administrative regions, raising the official overall total to 2,744. Lisa Gralinski, PhD, a coronavirus researchers at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, noted on Twitter last night that the 2019-nCoV total has already topped that of MERS-CoV, which at nearly 2,500 cases since 2012 continues to sicken people, mostly in Saudi Arabia (see today's CIDRAP News scan).
https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2020/ ... s-spreads/
Stores Across U.S. Sell Out of Face Masks, Hand Sanitizer as Coronavirus Spreads
Brooklyn, New York–Stores are running out of personal care products consumers are buying in an attempt to ward off the Wuhan coronavirus.
At least three pharmacies visited by Breitbart News in Brooklyn, N.Y. were sold out of individual-sized hand sanitizer this weekend. A Target store located at Brooklyn’s Atlantic Terminal was also sold out. Target’s website reported none were available for delivery in Brooklyn.
Disposable surgical face masks were also unavailable on Sunday at those stores.
Amazon said that it could deliver hand sanitizer by Wednesday. An Amazon page for ‘flu masks’ showed many of the most popular versions of surgical masks and personal anti-dust masks were unavailable.
The unavailability of these items is likely tied to heightened purchases by consumers due to fears of the Wuhan coronavirus. It is not yet clear how widespread such shortages are.
“Everyone was buying those pocket bottles because of the China flu,” an employee at one Brooklyn seller told Breitbart. The employee asked not to be identified because he was not authorized to speak to news media.
Masks and sanitizer shortages are reportedly widespread in Asia, with some sellers significantly increasing prices in reaction to intense demand.
Update: Shortages of face masks have been reported in Chicago. From the Chicago Tribune:
On the eve of Lunar New Year, a time meant for celebration with family and arguably the most important Chinese holiday, many Chinatown residents found themselves instead standing in line to buy bright blue boxes of face masks, seeking to protect themselves from the coronavirus after the first case was confirmed in Chicago.
By early afternoon Friday, the lone Walgreens in Chinatown was sold out. Meanwhile, some events celebrating Lunar New Year were canceled, and restaurant owners in the community complained of waning business.